Archive for the Presidential Polling Category
September 24, 2008Remember back in early September, when that USA Today poll showed John McCain opening up a 10-point lead against Barack Obama and all the liberals ran down the street naked screaming and crying “Oh, the humanity” like it was May 9, 1937? They were dropping Biden, they were dropping Obama, they were threatening riots in the streets on the evening of November 4.
Normal people laughed and laughed because of their total meltdown.
Continue Reading “Dr. Strangeweighting: Or How I Learned To Stop Worrying And Love The Polls” »
This can’t be comforting to Democrats. Rather than face the wholesale abandonment of the Obama candidacy by white female voters and find a way to counteract it, the Obama campaign has chosen to deny that the shift exists.
Among white female voters, preferences have shifted from Obama to McCain by an unprecedented 20% in two weeks according to an ABC News / Washington Post poll.
Before the Democratic National Convention in late August, Obama held an 8 percentage point lead among white women voters, 50 percent to 42 percent, but after the Republican convention in early September, McCain was ahead by 12 points among white women, 53 percent to 41 percent, the poll found.
But, like another giant-eared intelligence challenged neophyte, the Obama campaign has adopted the slogan, “What, Me Worry?”
Asked about the findings during a briefing on Monday before the poll was published, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe told a Washington Post reporter, “Well, your poll is wrong.”
And he’s not talking about the Bradley effect, either. He’s talking about it being wrong in their direction.
John McCain and Sarah Palin lead Barack Obama and Joe Biden by 10% among likely voters according to a USA Today / Gallup poll published this evening.
In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/— 3 points for both samples.
A new Zogby poll, taken entirely after John McCain named Sarah Palin as his running mate on Friday, finds the choice has erased all of Obama’s Convention / Acceptance Speech bounce. McCain has 47%, Obama 45%. With Palin in the equation, McCain has Republican support to the tune of 92%.
Pollster John Zogby: “Palin is not to be underestimated. Her real strength is that she is authentic, a real mom, an outdoors person, a small town mayor (hey, she has dealt with a small town city council - that alone could be preparation for staring down Vladimir Putin, right?). She is also a reformer.”
Hey, that’s not the way the coronation was supposed to work! In the first poll conducted completely after Barack Obama named Joe Biden as his running mate, the Obamessiah went from a 7-point lead over John McCain to a dead heat. The CNN poll finds the candidates tied at 47%.
John McCain has pulled 5 points ahead of Barack Obama in the latest national Zogby presidential poll, which last month showed Obama ahead by 7 points. The poll shows Obama losing support across nearly all demographic groups, with a significant decline in support among young voters.
Zogby polled 1,089 likely voters, and the poll has a 3-point margin of error. Respondents were called last Thursday through Saturday, so the results do not include much, if any, fallout from Obama’s embarrassing performance at the Saddleback Civil Forum on Presidency last Saturday night.
Continue Reading “Zogby: McCain Ahead of Obama in 12-Point Swing” »
Conservatives, it may be time to begin lying to pollsters and saying we’re voting for Obama. Considering the very steep and fast way his campaign is tanking among a wide variety of demographic groups, we are seriously beginning to run the risk of losing this perfect opponent. Remember, he hasn’t been nominated yet.
For the first time since the candidates participating in the November elections became evident, Republican John McCain is beating Barack Obama among voters who expressed a preference in the Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking poll.
McCain’s one-point lead (47% to 46%) may be statistically insignificant, but it represents a shift in the race that is more evident as you drill down into the numbers.
Continue Reading “McCain Bests Obama in Rasmussen Daily Poll” »
Barack Hussein Obama’s Presidential dress-up tour abroad has had an interesting effect: A poll boost for opponent John McCain.
Because I strongly disagree with the sampling process used by Newsweek in their Presidential polling (polling a split of Republicans and Democrats with no bearing to what exists in the country) I put absolutely no faith in their top line “McCain vs. Obama” number. It means nothing to me that Obama dropped 12 points in three weeks, from a 15 point lead to a 3 point lead, within the margin of error. It is, admittedly, amusing to watch the libs melt down over it, though.
